Opta 'super' computer rates Arsenal and Chelsea's chances of Premier League glory compared to Liverpool

Arsenal and Chelsea continue their pursuit of the Premier League title as rivals Liverpool are nine points ahead of the Gunners at the top of the league. The Gunners beat Ipswich Town 1-0 in their last game in which a goal from Kai Havertz was enough to give Mikel Arteta’s side the three points.

Meanwhile, Chelsea lost 2-1 to Fulham in their on Boxing Day which came after a 0-0 draw with Everton. Cole Palmer gave the home side the lead after 16 minutes before Harry Wilson equalised in the 82nd minute. Fulham then scored a winner courtesy of Rodrigo Muniz in the 95th minute. Those results allowed the Reds to re-extend their lead over Chelsea as they beat Leicester City and then West Ham.

Both the Blues and Arsenal are in pursuit of Arne Slot’s Liverpool who sit on top of both the Premier League and Champions League at the halfway point in the season. Arteta and Maresca will be keen to go on a good run of form in order to catch up to the Reds. Following the Christmas period, Opta Analyst has run a new simulation of the season with their super computer predicting each team’s chance of winning the league title. Liverpool remain the favourites as it suggests that they have a 91.3% chance to win the Premier League.

Arsenal’s chances in the Premier League title race

According to the super computer, the Gunners have a 7.7% chance to win the league this season and are expected to finish second in the league table come the end of the campaign If that is true, it will be the third season in a row in which the Gunners have come second in the league. The previous two years, they lost to Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City rather than Liverpool.

It would mean that Arsenal’s 20-year wait for their first league title since the 2003/04 season would continue. Arteta will hope that his side can increase their 7.7% chance to win over the coming weeks. The Gunners play against rivals Chelsea in March, whereas, they have to wait until May to play Liverpool in what will be their third-last game of the season this year.

Chelsea’s chances in the Premier League title race

As Arsenal are predicted to finish second, the Blues are predicted to finish third this season. The super computer gives them a 0.9% chance to win the league title. Maresca will be delighted that his side remain in the title race, despite his comments suggesting that the Blues don’t have a chance at the league title this season.

The Blues will mark down their hosting of Liverpool at the start of May as a crucial game in the title race. It will be Chelsea’s fourth-last game of the season, meaning that the Reds will play both Chelsea and Arsenal during their run in. Maresca’s side will then play Newcastle, Manchester United and Nottingham Forest to finish off their season with the hopes of a chance at silverware.