West Ham's survival bid: Predicted final table, relegation percentage and run-in compared with Nottingham Forest
A look at how West Ham’s survival chances compare to Nottingham Forest and others.
West Ham picked up a huge win on Wednesday night to move level on points with relegation rivals Nottingham Forest. Crysencio Summerville’s winner at Fulham saw the Iron continue their solid form and eat up the last of the points gap, although they are still in the relegation zone on goal difference.
Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest may have lost their advantage, but they know their draw at Manchester City was without doubt a big point gained. The relegation race is really heating up as we approach the final stretch. Here we take a look at the latest, including the predicted table.
The current table
Here is the current relegation battle picture. We have left Wolves out, given the certainty of their relegation.
15th - Leeds United - 31pts // -11GD
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 29pts // -5GD (One game in-hand)
17th - Nottingham Forest - 28 pts // -15GD
18th - West Ham - 28 pts // -19GD
19th - Burnley - 19pts // -26GD
The predicted final table
Here is the predicted final table, according to OPTA’s simulations.
15th - Leeds United - 42.07pts // Relegation probability - 8.78%
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 42.00pts // Relegation probability - 8.22%
17th - Nottingham Forest - 39pts // Relegation probability - 29.93%
18th - West Ham - 37.56pts // Relegation probability - 52.72%
19th - Burnley - 27.05pts // Relegation probability - 99.62%
Run-ins compared
For this purpose, we will leave out Burnley given the likelihood they are going to be relegated.
Leeds United’s run-in
Crystal Palace (A), Brentford (H), Man Utd (A), Wolves (H), AFC Bournemouth (A), Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A).
Tottenham’s run-in
Crystal Palace (H), Liverpool (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Sunderland (A), Brighton (H), Wolves (A), Aston Villa (A), Leeds United (H), Chelsea (A), Everton (H).
Nottingham Forest’s run-in
Fulham (H), Tottenham (A), Aston Villa (H), Burnley (H), Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A), Newcastle United (H), Man Utd (A), AFC Bournemouth (H).
West Ham’s run-in
Man City (H), Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H), Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle United (A), Leeds United (H).