West Ham's survival bid: Predicted final table and how their run-in compares to Leeds United and Nottingham Forest
A look at how West Ham’s run-in compares to those of their relegation rivals, and how the predicted table rates their chances.
West Ham are in a fight for their lives near the bottom of the Premier League table. The Hammers have picked up in form over recent weeks, accumulating 10 points from the last 15 avialable in the Premier League, but while that has given them a fighting chance, they are still fighting from behind.
Nuno Espirito Santo knows it is going to take some consistent form to escape the drop, but the other sides are also well aware of the Iron’s form, and two of them, in Tottenham and Nottingham Forest, replaced their managers last week.
As we prepare for the final run-in, we have rounded up the predicted table and how each of the relegation-threatened teams’ run-ins compare.
The current table
Here is the current relegation battle picture. We have left Wolves out, given the certainty of their relegation.
15th - Leeds United - 30pts // -9GD
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 29pts // -1GD
17th - Nottingham Forest - 27 pts // -13GD
18th - West Ham - 24 ptss // -17GD
19th - Burnley - 18pts // -23GD
The predicted final table
Here is the predicted final table, according to OPTA’s simulations.
15th - Leeds United - 44.71pts // Relegation probability - 3.74%
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 44.51pts // Relegation probability - 3.67%
17th - Nottingham Forest - 40.45pts // Relegation probability - 19.47%
18th - West Ham - 35.98pts // Relegation probability - 72.04%
19th - Burnley - 20.41pts // Relegation probability - 98.56%
Run-ins compared
For this purpose, we will leave out Burnley given the likelihood they are going to be relegated.
Leeds United’s run-in
Aston Villa (A), Man City (H), Sunderland (H), Crystal Palace (A), Brentford (H), Man Utd (A), Wolves (H), AFC Bournemouth (A), Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A).
Tottenham’s run-in
Arsenal (H), Fulham (A), Crystal Palace (H), Liverpool (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Sunderland (A), Brighton (H), Wolves (A), Aston Villa (A), Leeds United (H), Chelsea (A), Everton (H).
Nottingham Forest’s run-in
Liverpool (H), Brighton (A), Man City (A), Fulham (H), Tottenham (A), Aston Villa (H), Burnley (H), Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A), Newcastle United (H), Man Utd (A), AFC Bournemouth (H).
West Ham’s run-in
AFC Bournemouth (H), Liverpool (A), Fulham (A), Man City (H), Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H), Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle United (A), Leeds United (H).
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