West Ham survival bid: Predicted final table and run-in compared to Nottingham Forest and Leeds United
A look at the West Ham survival bid, including the final predicted table and the run-ins.
West Ham picked up another big point over the weekend, holding Manchester City to a draw at home, potentially ending the title race but, more importantly for them, further aiding their survival bid.
As luck would have it, Tottenham pulled off a huge late draw with Liverpool, and both Leeds United and Nottingham Forest also draw their games, meaning there is no real change down the bottom. But there is no doubting that a point against City, and Forest managed recently, could prove invaluable.
As the race for survival continues to hot up, we have rounded up the remaining games for each team and the predicted final table.
The current table
Here is the current relegation battle picture. We have left Wolves out, given the certainty of their relegation.
15th - Leeds United - 32pts // -11GD
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 30pts // -7GD
17th - Nottingham Forest - 29pts // -15GD
18th - West Ham - 29pts // -19GD
19th - Burnley - 20pts // -26GD
The predicted final table
Here is the predicted final table, according to OPTA’s simulations.
15th - Leeds United - 42.21 pts // Relegation probability - 6.45%
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 40.43pts // Relegation probability - 13.18%
17th - Nottingham Forest - 38.33pts // Relegation probability - 34.05%
18th - West Ham - 37.76pts // Relegation probability - 46.57%
19th - Burnley - 27.10pts // Relegation probability - 99.65%
Run-ins compared
For this purpose, we will leave out Burnley given the likelihood they are going to be relegated.
Leeds United’s run-in
Brentford (H), Man Utd (A), Wolves (H), AFC Bournemouth (A), Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A).
Tottenham’s run-in
Liverpool (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Sunderland (A), Brighton (H), Wolves (A), Aston Villa (A), Leeds United (H), Chelsea (A), Everton (H).
Nottingham Forest’s run-in
Tottenham (A), Aston Villa (H), Burnley (H), Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A), Newcastle United (H), Man Utd (A), AFC Bournemouth (H).
West Ham’s run-in
Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H), Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle United (A), Leeds United (H).