West Ham's survival bid: Predicted final table and how their run-in compares to Nottingham Forest, Spurs and Leeds
A look at the relegation picture and where West Ham stand after the weekend’s results.
It was a case of nothing gained or nothing lost for West Ham over the weekend as far as their relegation fight was concerned. West Ham, Nottingham Forest, Tottenham and Leeds United all lost, and while there was a small shift in the goal difference columns, the points situation remained exactly the same.
With a round of mid-week action ahead, it will be interesting to see how things look by the time the weekend rolls around, especially with Nottingham Forest facing Manchester City. Here we take a look at the relegation picture to see where West Ham’s chances of survival stand.
The current table
Here is the current relegation battle picture. We have left Wolves out, given the certainty of their relegation.
15th - Leeds United - 31pts // -10GD
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 29pts // -5GD
17th - Nottingham Forest - 27 pts // -15GD
18th - West Ham - 25 pts // -20GD
19th - Burnley - 19pts // -24GD
The predicted final table
Here is the predicted final table, according to OPTA’s simulations.
15th - Leeds United - 44.12pts // Relegation probability - 2.05%
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 42.05pts // Relegation probability - 5.02%
17th - Nottingham Forest - 38.26pts // Relegation probability - 25%
18th - West Ham - 35.12pts // Relegation probability - 69.38%
19th - Burnley - 29.07pts // Relegation probability - 97.60%
Run-ins compared
For this purpose, we will leave out Burnley given the likelihood they are going to be relegated.
Leeds United’s run-in
Sunderland (H), Crystal Palace (A), Brentford (H), Man Utd (A), Wolves (H), AFC Bournemouth (A), Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A).
Tottenham’s run-in
Crystal Palace (H), Liverpool (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Sunderland (A), Brighton (H), Wolves (A), Aston Villa (A), Leeds United (H), Chelsea (A), Everton (H).
Nottingham Forest’s run-in
Man City (A), Fulham (H), Tottenham (A), Aston Villa (H), Burnley (H), Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A), Newcastle United (H), Man Utd (A), AFC Bournemouth (H).
West Ham’s run-in
Fulham (A), Man City (H), Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H), Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle United (A), Leeds United (H).
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