How many points do West Ham and Tottenham need to secure Premier League safety?

Tottenham are now in deep trouble after a home defeat to Crystal Palace that left them within one point of the relegation zone. Spurs once felt too good to get relegated, even with their lowly position, but that narrative has quickly melted away.

West Ham and Nottingham Forest both picked up points during the week, and Tottenham’s failure to do so has dragged them to the very edge of the relegation zone.

With Igor Tudor struggling to turn things around, and with injuries and discipline a clear problem, relegation fears have never been greater.

As for West Ham, there is now serious hope of survival after a remarkable turnaround over recent weeks. Wednesday night’s win over Fulham saw the Hammers move to within goal difference of Nottingham Forest, but there is still plenty of work to do.

How many points do West Ham and Tottenham need to secure Premier League safety?

We don’t know the exact number that will be needed to wrap up Premier League security, but we can look at the last 10 seasons to get an average. For this purpose, we have taken the the 18th placed team from the last 10 years and added one point to their total, which would be the minimum required for survival without the need for goal difference.

We have then calculated the average from that 10 year period, and the average points needed is 33 points. But with West Ham, the current 18th placed team already on 28 points with nine games remaining, it’s highly likely the points required this season will be higher.

Opta’s predicted table suggests it will take 38 points to secure safety this season, with West Ham predicted to finish in 18th with 37.49 points, while Tottenham are currently expected to finish on 40.04 points in 15th.

If 38 points are to be required, West Ham need to pick up 10 points from their last nine games, while Spurs will need nine.