Tottenham's survival bid: Predicted final table and remaining games compared to Nottingham Forest and West Ham
A look at Tottenham’s survival bid after their huge point against Liverpool.
Tottenham picked up a huge point on Sunday, with Igor Tudor finally ending his losing start to life at the club. Richarlison produced a late equaliser at Anfield to ensure a one-point cushion remains between Tottenham and the bottom three.
The pressure was on after Leeds United, West Ham and Nottingham Forest all across Saturday and Sunday, and Spurs were the last to play. But they managed to match the results of the others and ease relegation players at least for a week.
Here we take a look at where Spurs are expected to end up, according to the predicted table, and examine the run-ins to see who might have the advantage.
The current table
Here is the current relegation battle picture. We have left Wolves out, given the certainty of their relegation.
15th - Leeds United - 32pts // -11GD
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 30pts // -7GD
17th - Nottingham Forest - 29pts // -15GD
18th - West Ham - 29pts // -19GD
19th - Burnley - 20pts // -26GD
The predicted final table
Here is the predicted final table, according to OPTA’s simulations.
15th - Leeds United - 42.21 pts // Relegation probability - 6.45%
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 40.43pts // Relegation probability - 13.18%
17th - Nottingham Forest - 38.33pts // Relegation probability - 34.05%
18th - West Ham - 37.76pts // Relegation probability - 46.57%
19th - Burnley - 27.10pts // Relegation probability - 99.65%
Run-ins compared
For this purpose, we will leave out Burnley given the likelihood they are going to be relegated.
Leeds United’s run-in
Brentford (H), Man Utd (A), Wolves (H), AFC Bournemouth (A), Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A).
Tottenham’s run-in
Liverpool (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Sunderland (A), Brighton (H), Wolves (A), Aston Villa (A), Leeds United (H), Chelsea (A), Everton (H).
Nottingham Forest’s run-in
Tottenham (A), Aston Villa (H), Burnley (H), Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A), Newcastle United (H), Man Utd (A), AFC Bournemouth (H).
West Ham’s run-in
Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H), Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle United (A), Leeds United (H).