Tottenham's survival bid: Predicted final table and how their run-in compares to West Ham and Forest
A look at how Tottenham’s final fixtures compare to those of their relegation rivals.
Tottenham are now truly in crisis, losing again on Thursday night to slip further into trouble. Spurs are now just one point above the drop zone after losing 3-1 to Crystal Palace at home, while West Ham won on Wednesday night.
Igor Tudor is still without a win during his time at the club, and there are now genuine fears of relegation, especially with the clubs below them picking up points during the mid-week round of fixtures. Here we take a look at the relegation picture and where Tottenham are predicted to end up.
The current table
Here is the current relegation battle picture. We have left Wolves out, given the certainty of their relegation.
15th - Leeds United - 31pts // -11GD
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 29pts // -7GD
17th - Nottingham Forest - 28 pts // -15GD
18th - West Ham - 28 pts // -19GD
19th - Burnley - 19pts // -26GD
The predicted final table
Here is the predicted final table, according to OPTA’s simulations.
15th - Leeds United - 42.09pts // Relegation probability - 8.09%
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 40.04pts // Relegation probability - 16.10%
17th - Nottingham Forest - 39.08pts // Relegation probability - 26.08%
18th - West Ham - 37.49pts // Relegation probability - 49.53%
19th - Burnley - 27.07pts // Relegation probability - 99.36%
Run-ins compared
For this purpose, we will leave out Burnley given the likelihood they are going to be relegated.
Leeds United’s run-in
Crystal Palace (A), Brentford (H), Man Utd (A), Wolves (H), AFC Bournemouth (A), Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A).
Tottenham’s run-in
Liverpool (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Sunderland (A), Brighton (H), Wolves (A), Aston Villa (A), Leeds United (H), Chelsea (A), Everton (H).
Nottingham Forest’s run-in
Fulham (H), Tottenham (A), Aston Villa (H), Burnley (H), Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A), Newcastle United (H), Man Utd (A), AFC Bournemouth (H).
West Ham’s run-in
Man City (H), Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H), Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle United (A), Leeds United (H).