Chris Sutton makes Chelsea, Tottenham and Crystal Palace predictions as 'reinvigorate' claim made
A look at the predictions for this weekend’s FA Cup fourth round clash.
The FA Cup fourth round is almost here, and we have plenty of London clubs in action this weekend as they look to take one step closer to Wembley. Millwall face rivals Leeds United, while Leyton Orient will be hoping for a huge upset against Manchester City.
Fulham take on League One side Wigan Athletic, Crystal Palace face Doncaster Rovers, and in all-Premier League ties, Chelsea take on Brighton and Tottenham face Aston Villa. Here we round up the predictions from BBC Sport’s Chris Sutton.
Leeds United vs Millwall
“This is an awkward one to call because of Leeds' situation. They are five points clear at the top of the Championship after beating Coventry on Wednesday but four teams are going for the two automatic spots. Promotion is their priority, and I think their manager Daniel Farke will make quite a few changes here.
“I don't agree with that thinking, but I can kind of understand it. I'd love to see Leeds really have a go in the FA Cup but they play Watford in the Championship next Tuesday. Their schedule is relentless, and the financial rewards of going up - or the consequences of missing out - are huge. Farke is not the only former Norwich boss involved here - Alex Neil is a pretty shrewd manager who is on a good little run with Millwall and they have just won three games in a row to put themselves on the fringe of the play-off race.
“I had to think quite a lot about this one, but I am going to go with Millwall to cause an upset. They have already beaten Leeds this season, at The Den in November, and Leeds have only lost one of their 18 games since. But this prediction is based more on the kind of team I am expecting Leeds will put out, because I think Farke is more likely to put out a weakened team than Neil. Prediction: 1-2 after extra time.”
Leyton Orient vs Man City
“Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola will probably make some changes with his side's Champions League tie against Real Madrid coming up on Tuesday, but he won't just field a load of kids. Instead it will probably be Kevin de Bruyne and Jack Grealish who come into the side, so City are hardly going to be lacking experience.
“Leyton Orient have already been one of the stories of this season's FA Cup, thanks to goalkeeper Josh Keeley, who went up for a stoppage-time corner in their second-round win over Oldham and scored a 99th-minute equaliser to force extra time, then Dan Agyei got their winner in the 121st minute. Orient went on to knock out Championship side Derby County on penalties in round three to earn this tie, but I feel a bit sorry for them because they won't be at full strength here.
“They had a good January in terms of making signings but lots of the new players won't be eligible here, and they have some injuries to contend with too. Saturday's loss at home to Stockport was their first defeat in 13 games and while they have been in excellent form, they have lost a bit of momentum. Their manager Richie Wellens is a boyhood Manchester United fan who started his career with the Reds and would love to get one over City, but I don't see it happening for him.
“City won't get as many as they did against Salford City in round three, but they are going through. Orient will get a goal, but that's all. Prediction: 1-3.”
Wigan Athletic vs Fulham
“Wigan boss Shaun Maloney says he learned a lot about management from Fulham boss Marco Silva when he played under him at Hull City, but I am surprised he has not said the same about me. Shaun had an outstanding playing career, and he has a lot to thank me for about that - I helped him a lot when he was a youngster at Celtic, both technically and psychologically.
“Being serious, fair play to him for the job he has done at Wigan because he has had a lot to contend with there. He also had a tough time in charge of Hibs, where he was wrongly sacked and was not given long enough. So, I have a lot of admiration for what Shaun has done as a manager and Wigan are doing all right under him, but this is a tough game for them.
“Fulham are like Bournemouth in that they are in the top half of the Premier League and I want to see them give the FA Cup a real go. We talked about Silva's side on the Monday Night Club this week actually, as having a brilliant bench that can make a contribution most weeks. At the start of the season I thought Fulham's home form was impressive but it has dropped off recently, and it is their away form that is exceptional at the moment.
“I think they will carry that on in the FA Cup, and they will be too strong for Wigan. This game could see twin brothers Ryan and Steven Sessegnon play against each other for the first time in their careers - Ryan for Fulham and Steven for Wigan. I played against my younger brother, John, when we were both up in Scotland and he tried to kick me but did not get near me - it was a bit like when we played each other in the garden when we were kids, although I was 10 years older than him. Prediction: 1-3.”
Brighton vs Chelsea
“This is not an easy tie to call. Brighton need to bounce back from losing 7-0 to Nottingham Forest, while Chelsea have been very up and down in recent weeks. Seagulls boss Fabian Hurzeler is quite an interesting character to watch on the touchline because of how emotional he is during the game.
“He has had five yellow cards and a red already this season and he has got to be careful, because that kind of indiscipline can rub off on your players. I think this game will be tight - I certainly don't see Brighton capitulating the way they did at Forest, but the key thing for them is Yasin Ayari and Carlos Baleba being fit to return in midfield. Even if they both return, I still feel like Chelsea will find a way of winning the tie. It may go all the way to penalties but I am going to say Enzo Maresca's side will win it in extra time. Prediction: 1-2 after extra time.”
Aston Villa vs Tottenham
“Thursday's Carabao Cup semi-final is enormous for Tottenham's season. If they win, the pressure is not off their manager Ange Postecoglou but they would be into a major final and he would be one step away from their first major trophy since 2008 - their fans will be thinking very differently.
“If they lose, the pressure going into this tie would be heightened. The way Spurs beat Brentford was more 'Ange-Wall' than 'Ange-Ball' but it worked, and they might need more of the same to get through here.
“It will help Aston Villa that they don't have a midweek game before this tie and, as well as the result against Liverpool, one of the things that will affect Tottenham is fatigue and how many players they have got fit. When these two teams met in November, Spurs won 4-1 but it was a strange game and it could actually have gone either way. The same applies here too.
“Like Tottenham, Villa also have a problem keeping clean sheets - they have managed only one in their past 13 games - so I think there will be goals in this tie. It will be interesting to see if Villa's new loan signing, Marcus Rashford, gets one of them. Bringing Rashford in is a gamble, but I know myself from my career how a change of scenery can reinvigorate a player. This is essentially a trial for him - if he does well, they will sign him. If not, he will be going back to Manchester United. Prediction: 2-2 after extra time, Villa to win 12-11 on penalties.”
Doncaster Rovers vs Crystal Palace
“Doncaster are the lowest ranked team left in the FA Cup but they won't be left in after they have played Crystal Palace. Palace have really improved in the past couple of months and, after a slow start to the season, they are now safe from relegation.
“I'd love to see the Eagles give it a go in the FA Cup this season. With Jean-Philippe Mateta up front they are a threat to anyone, and they will have too much for Doncaster to deal with. Prediction: 0-2.”
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