Chelsea top four bid: Predicted final table and their run-in compared to Liverpool and Aston Vila
A look at the Champions League race as Chelsea hang on by a thread following poor form.
Chelsea’s are barely hanging on in the top four race after extremely inconsistent form over recent weeks. Liam Rosenior is not having a fun time of it, with his side suffering another hugely disappointing defeat last time out.


That left the Blues six points off the top four, and their best hope of landing Champions League football likely relies on fifth place becoming a Champions League spot, and if that is the case, the Blues still have plenty of hope, with Liverpool also in poor form.
Here we round up the latest on the top four - or maybe top five - race, including the latest predicted table.
Current Premier League table
Here is how the Premier League table currently looks
3rd - Man Utd - 55pts // 13GD
4th - Aston Villa - 54pts // 5GD
5th - Liverpool - 49pts // 8GD
6th - Chelsea - 48pts // 15GD
7th - Brentford - 46pts // 4GD
Predicted final table
Here is the predicted final Premier League table from OPTA, who use many simulations to put together the most likely final standings.
3rd - Man Utd- 66.02pts // UCL probability - 85.48%
4th - Aston Villa - 65.09pts // UCL probability - 77.50%
5th - Liverpool - 60.34pts // UCL probability - 22.82%
6th - Chelsea - 58.30pts // UCL probability - 9.94%
7th - Brentford - 55.66pts // UCL probability - 1.92%
Note: ‘UCL probability’ factors in the probability of the Premier League gaining an additional qualification place, which would make fifth place an automatic Champions League spot. England would have to be among the two best-performing nations in European competitions this season to secure that additional place.
Run-ins compared
Man Utd
Leeds (H), Chelsea (A), Brentford (H), Liverpool (H), Sunderland (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Brighton (A).
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest (A), Sunderland (H), Fulham (A), Tottenham (H), Burnley (A), Liverpool (H), Man City (A).
Liverpool
Fulham (H), Everton (A), Crystal Palace (H), Man Utd (A), Chelsea (H), Aston Villa (A), Brentford (H).
Chelsea
Man City (H), Man Utd (H), Brighton (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Liverpool (A), Tottenham (H), Sunderland (A).
Brentford
Everton (H), Fulham (H), Man Utd (A), West Ham (H), Man City (A), Crystal Palace (H), Liverpool (A).
